Chance or R&R at JF in 2013: 9.4%
Chance of publishing conditional on R&R: 82%
Chance of being accepted on first round 0.9bp (1 in 1,172)
Chance or R&R at JF in 2013 (conditional of my school): 0%
Chance of publishing conditional on R&R (conditional of my school): 0%*82%=0%
Chance of being accepted on first round conditional of my school: I decided to work on cold fusion in my garage